All odds provided by Caesars Sportsbook.
What you need to know for Game 6 of the NBA Finals
Steph struggles: Stephen Curry didn’t make a 3-pointer for the first time in his playoff career in Monday’s Game 5 win. It’s unlikely to happen again and we might even see Superhuman Steph in Game 6. The last time he failed to make three 3s in a game was Game 6 of the Finals. western conference. He responded in his next game with six 3s in the first quarter of the NBA Finals earlier this month.
X factor: Smart Marcus not only leads the Celtics in scoring in the second half this series, but has impacted the team in other ways that should help them to this game-win or go home 6. He has a ratio of spin assist of 3.8 in wins, more than double its loss rate (1.3) in the past month. Jayson Tatum and Jaylen Brown grab the most attention, but the Finals are unlikely to return to San Francisco without Smart giving the Celtics a big push.
Break down game 6
Golden State Warriors vs. Boston Celtics
9 p.m. ET, TD Garden, Boston
Line: Celtics (-4)
Money line: Celtics (-170), Warriors (+145)
Total: 210 dots
BPI Total projected: 222.4 points
BPI gain %: Celtics (68.8%)
Notable: The under is 8-5 in Boston’s last 13 wins.
Best bet: Andre Wiggins less than 18.5 points: Andrew Wiggins was amazing in Game 5, but none of those stats will help cash in Game 6. Wiggins scored 26 points and led the Warriors in shooting (23) because Stephen Curry had a night off. It’s hard to predict the same use in Game 6, as Wiggins’ upscore is more limited than you might think. He played 192 minutes this series and attempted just 13 free throws while missing 21 of 28 3-point attempts. He cashed in more tickets in Game 5 by shooting 12 of 17 from inside the 3-point line, which probably won’t happen again with increased focus from the NBA’s best defense. — Sope
Best bet: Marcus Smart with over 5.5 assists. Smart has 22 assists and just three turnovers in three playoff games this postseason. His usage rate is as high as it has been all season and being at home is never a bad thing for assist numbers. Smart averaged fewer shots and more assists at home than on the road during the regular season. — Sope
Best bet: Over 210 points. This is the lowest total in the series, which I think is a price that presents value based on what happened in Game 5. The Celtics and Warriors combined to shoot a disastrous 20 of 72 (27%) from 3-point range on Monday. Golden State’s 22% and Boston’s 34% effort were each the worst long-range shooting performances for either team in this series. The Celtics missed 10 free throws and took just 75 total shots, their fourth-lowest in 23 postseason games. Despite everything I just mentioned, we still saw 198 total points scored. I believe better shooting performance is on the horizon, so I like the idea of a half unit bet on top. –Joe Fortenbaugh
Best bet: Stephen Curry with over 28.5 points. Curry should bounce back in a big way in Game 6. He finished Game 5 0-9 from 3-point range. In every game Curry has failed to hit a triple since 2013, he averaged 4.4 3s and went 46% from 3-point range the following game. That includes his 13 3s against the New Orleans Pelicans in 2016. –Eric Moody
Best bet: Jayson Tatum on 3.5 turnovers. Tatum carried the charge offensively for the Celtics in the playoffs, but he also averaged 4.1 turnovers per game. Tatum has committed 95 turnovers in the playoffs, passing james lebron‘Brand 2018. — Moody
Best bet: Klay Thompson more than 20.5 points, 3.5 3 points. Thompson has been inconsistent in this series, but when he’s locked in, he’s unstoppable. Thompson has delivered a few Game 6 performances in his career and another is on the way. He averaged 20.7 PPG in 12 career Game 6s, shooting 44.6 percent from the field and 49.5 percent from outside the arc. Expect the Warriors to come out aggressively and Thompson to show off his smirk a lot. — Moody
Best bet: Jayson Tatum on 41.5 points + assists + rebounds. The Celtics lost back-to-back games for the first time this postseason, one pattern that hasn’t been broken is Tatum’s big games after a loss. He topped 40.5 PAR in Game 5 and I expect him to produce even more in Game 6 of the Celtics season in play. –Snellings
Best bet: Marcus Smart on 15.5 points. I hammered on this for a while and will continue to do so. Smart was down 20 points in Game 5 and scored at least 18 points in five of his last six games. He’s averaged 16.4 PPG in his last 14 outings. –Snellings
Best bet: Andrew Wiggins on 7.5 rebounds. Wiggins has become the Warriors’ leading rebounder in this series, with 29 rebounds over the past two games. Golden State has found success playing small ball, with either Draymond Green Where Kevon Looney at five and Wiggins smashing the window at four. Wiggins is peaking in his role and displaying the incredible athleticism that made him the No. 1 pick in the 2014 NBA Draft. I expect another big effort on the boards in Game 6. –Snellings
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